The Nosurprise Research Papers and Resources Library is a knowledge page that contains documents, reports, videos and external websites from other organisations and individuals.

While these documents and other information are freely available in the public domain, we hope that bringing these into one place will help for referencing past research and helping with future research in a free and open manner.

Brains & Perception

Your brain – the advanced prediction machine

Prediction, Cognition and the Brain

The proactive brain: using analogies and associations to generate predictions

How prediction errors shape perception, attention, and motivation

Hierarchical Temporal Memory including HTM Cortical Learning Algorithm

Teaching the Amygdala to Avoid Motorcycle Collisions

Time on the Brain: How You Are Always Living In the Past, and Other Quirks of Perception

Whatever next? Predictive brains, situated agents, and the future of cognitive science

Confirmation Bias

Why the Unskilled Are Unaware: Further Explorations of (Absent) Self-Insight among the Incompetent

Teen Brains, Danger, and Dopamine: Mind-sight and our Internal Compass

Teenage Brains – Beautiful Brains

Cognitive Distraction While Multitasking in the Automobile

Why the modern world is bad for your brain

Safety II – Systems thinking for safety

From Safety-I to Safety-II: A White Paper

Systems Thinking for Safety: Ten Principles A White Paper

The Elusiveness of “Human Error”

Some myths about safety

Human Factors: From Liability to Asset

A Tale of Two Safeties

Is justice really important?

Perspectives on Human Error: Hindsight Biases and Local Rationality

Why do we resist new thinking about safety and systems?

Why Safety Needs a New Paradigm

What’s wrong with behaviour-based safety?

Safety Management: What Causes “Accidents”

How to Stop Fighting Fires and Start Solving Chronic Safety Problems

Why Statistical Methods Should Be Applied To Safety

Book Review: Safety I and Safety II

Professor Sidney Dekker: Transcript of Video Presentation

Resilience Engineering and Crisis management

From Safety-I to Safety-II: A brief introduction to resilience engineering

There is a Relationship between Systems Thinking and W. Edwards Deming’s Theory of Profound Knowledge.

What We Can Learn About Systems from W. Edwards Deming?

The Bureaucratization of Safety

From Protection to Resilience

Why did he make such an obvious mistake?

The varieties of human work.

Perceptual Learning

Gibson’s Theory of Perceptual Learning

Perceptual Learning, Cognition, and Expertise

Training Pilots’ Pattern Recognition Skills: Perceptual Learning Modules in Instrument Flight Training

Perceptual Learning

The Perceptual Cues that Reshape Expert Reasoning

Visual prediction and perceptual expertise

Perceptual Learning during Action Video Game Playing

Visual perceptual learning

A perceptual training module for pilot instrument scans

Perception and Learning

Perceptual learning and attention: Reduction of object attention limitations with practice

Vision

How Close is Too Close?

Motion camouflaging and nature’s stealth fighters

The Effect of Sight Distance Training on the Visual Scanning Of Motorcycle Riders

Visual Factors in Driving

The roles of motorcyclists and car drivers in conspicuity-related motorcycle crashes

Expectation (and attention) in visual cognition

The pop out of scene-relative object movement against retinal motion due to self-movement

The influence of optic expansion rates when judging the relative time to contact of familiar objects

Vision Using Routines: A Functional Account of Vision

Influence of Riding Experience on Glance Behaviour, Brake Response Time and Deceleration Rates by Drivers and Motorcyclists

Looking and failing to see, or gazing and failing to cognise appropriately?

Breaking cover: neural responses to slow and fast camouflage-breaking motion

Motion illusions & active camouflaging

At the edge of vision: Struggling to make sense of our cluttered world

Research on the possibility of a motion blindspot

 

Vehicle Control

Feedback Systems – an Introduction for Scientists and Engineers

Innate Behaviour Determines How We Steer Our Car

How do We Control High Speed Steering?

Active Gaze, Visual Look-Ahead, and Locomotor Control

Curves on two-lane roads

Does Steering a Car Involve Perception of the Velocity Flow Field?

Driving a vehicle: control of heading, collision avoidance, braking

A Review on Handling Aspects in Bicycle and Motorcycle Control

Pursuit Eye-Movements in Curve Driving Differentiate between Future Path and Tangent Point Models

The Effects of Near and Far Visual Occlusion upon a Simulated Driving Task

A Virtual Rider for Reproducing Experimental Manoeuvres

Beyond the Tangent point: Gaze Targets in Naturalistic Driving

Evaluation of the effectiveness of anti-lock braking systems

Driver and Rider Training

Education in Road Safety Are we getting it right?

Teaching Young Men to Drive (How to make novice drivers crash)

Learning to Drive – the Stubborn Truth (How to make novice drivers crash, part 2)

The Problem with Flight Training: How modern flight instruction is training pilots to make fatal mistakes.

The Effectiveness of Driver Training/Education as a Road Safety Measure

System for Driver Training and Assessment using Interactive Evaluation Tools and Reliable Methodologies

Uncovering the Origins of Latent Failures: The Evaluation of an Organisation’s Training Systems Design in Relation to Operational Performance.

Driving Behaviour in Unexpected Situations

Rider Training and Collision Avoidance in Thailand and Los Angeles Motorcycle Crashes

Websites and Blogs with links to many papers

http://sidneydekker.com/papers

http://www.visualexpert.com

http://jov.arvojournals.org

http://www.safetydifferently.com

http://www.righttoride.co.uk/virtual-library

http://humanisticsystems.com

http://scmsafety.blogspot.co.uk

http://hvhfsciences.com/index.html

http://hvhfsciences.blogspot.co.uk/

http://www.motorcycleinstitute.org/

Video Presentations

Safety I & Safety II

Sidney Dekker Video Presentation

Jeff Hawkins On Intelligence

The Real Reason for Brains

A Theory of a System for Educators and Managers

Your Brain Is a Dopamine-Based Prediction Machine

How Do We Predict the Future? Brains Rewards and Addiction

The Organised Mind: Thinking straight in an age of information overload

Dr Russell Ackoff – A Speech on Systems

Dan Siegel – Brainstorm: The Power and Purpose of the Teenage Brain

David Woods: The Mystery of Sustained Adaptability

Steven Shorrock: “Life After Human Error”

Donald Hoffman: Do we see reality as it really is?

Dan Ariely: Are we in control of our own decisions?

Michael Mainelli: The perils of too much risk aversion.

Connectomics: Mapping the brain’s wiring diagram

Amy Herman: “Visual Intelligence”

General Research & Interesting reading

The case of the left hand bend

A remedy for accidents at bends

Transition Spirals

OODA loop: The decision cycle of observe, orient, decide, and act

Road Safety with Self-Driving Vehicles: General Limitations and Road Sharing with Conventional Vehicles

Digital Natives, Digital Immigrants

Digital Natives, Digital Immigrants II

Traffic Accident Causation in Europe

A preliminary look at safety critical events from the motorcyclists’ perspective

Literature review of interventions to improve the conspicuity of motorcyclists and help avoid ‘looked but failed to see’ accidents

The Swedish Traffic Conflict Technique

Getting to Grips with Tyres

The UK on the Spot Accident Data Collection Study – Phase II Report

Integration of needs of moped and motorcycle riders into safety measures

Northern Ireland Motorcycle Fatality Report 2012

Near Miss Study of Motorcycles

Implications for Countermeasure Development in Road Safety

A case for evidence-based road-safety delivery

Understanding Human Behaviour and Error

Can What We’ve Learnt from Flying Stop Young Drivers Dying?

Our Elegant Brain: Motor learning in the fast lane

Consciousness has less control than believed

The role of dopaminergic neurons in decision making

How to Improve Your Situational Awareness on the Street.

The Old View – The Safe Systems Approach – Bad Apple Theory.

This paper is only included to illustrate the extent of the problem facing the widespread adoption of the new Safety II view of accident causation.